Thursday brought the winning streak back to earth without completely breaking the fictional bank. Germany and Las Vegas landed, but draws in Vienna and Dublin plus defeats for Norway and Pittsburgh left the card at 2–4.
The €50 returned €26.70, a daily loss of €23.30. That trims the running challenge P/L from +€48.76 to +€25.46. Still in the black; merely no longer ordering imaginary champagne.
Thursday’s result: 2–4
| Selection | Result | Stake | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan Women ML | Lost — drew 1–1 | €8.00 | €0.00 |
| Germany ML | Won 2–0 | €10.00 | €12.30 |
| Norway ML | Lost 2–1 | €9.00 | €0.00 |
| Austria ML | Lost — drew 2–2 | €6.00 | €0.00 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers ML | Lost 27–24 | €8.00 | €0.00 |
| Las Vegas Aces ML | Won 94–83 | €9.00 | €14.40 |
| Total | 2–4 | €50.00 | €26.70 |
Thursday P/L: –€23.30
Running challenge P/L: +€25.46
Friday’s €50 card
| Time (Ireland) | Selection | Odds | Stake | Potential return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 | Hungary v Georgia — under 2.5 goals | 1.78 | €8.00 | €14.24 |
| 19:45 | Ukraine v Northern Ireland — under 2.5 goals | 1.60 | €9.00 | €14.40 |
| 19:45 | Bosnia-Herzegovina v Sweden — over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | €7.00 | €12.11 |
| 19:45 | Poland to beat Romania | 1.55 | €10.00 | €15.50 |
| 01:00 Saturday | San Diego Wave to beat Orlando Pride | 2.00 | €7.00 | €14.00 |
| 02:00 Saturday | Golden State Valkyries ML v Dallas Wings | 1.34 | €9.00 | €12.06 |
| Total | €50.00 | €82.31 | ||
Odds checked at approximately 06:15 Irish time on Friday, 2 October. Prices move; the challenge records the quoted decimal price above.
Why these six?
1. Hungary v Georgia — under 2.5 goals @ 1.78 — €8
Neither side has scored in its opening two Nations League matches. Hungary began with a 0–0 draw against Northern Ireland before losing 1–0 in stoppage time to Ireland; Georgia lost 1–0 to Northern Ireland and then drew 0–0 with Ukraine. The market expects another tight game, and 1.78 is preferable to taking a short leap on either uneven attack.
2. Ukraine v Northern Ireland — under 2.5 goals @ 1.60 — €9
Northern Ireland have taken four points without conceding, beating Georgia 1–0 and drawing 0–0 with Hungary. Ukraine generated only 0.20 expected goals in their own goalless draw with Georgia. The hosts have more individual quality, but Northern Ireland’s compact shape makes the total safer than choosing a winner.
3. Bosnia-Herzegovina v Sweden — over 2.5 goals @ 1.73 — €7
Three of the four opening group matches involving these teams cleared this line: Sweden beat Romania 2–1 and Poland 3–1, while Bosnia won 4–2 in Romania after drawing 0–0 in Poland. Sweden travel without Alexander Isak and five illness-hit players, including defensive options. That weakens the case for Sweden at a drifting away price but may make an open, imperfect match more likely.
4. Poland to win @ 1.55 — €10
Poland are winless in five and were beaten 3–1 in Sweden, so this is not a blind favourite pick. Romania, however, have lost both group matches and conceded six goals, while also failing to win any of their last five League B away fixtures. Poland have won the last three meetings and should find more space here than they did in the 0–0 draw with Bosnia.
5. San Diego Wave to win @ 2.00 — €7
San Diego travel with a 15–8–3 record and 48 points; Orlando are 10–13–3 with 33. Orlando won the reverse fixture 1–0, but San Diego produced 17 shots and nearly 58% possession in that defeat. The Wave are the stronger season-long side, and even money is enough to accept the away risk without making them a large stake.
6. Golden State Valkyries moneyline @ 1.34 — €9
Golden State swept Dallas 3–0 in the regular season and won Game 1 of this series by 24 points. Dallas forced the decider with a 108–100 overtime win, but that required Arike Ogunbowale to set a WNBA playoff record with 45 points. Back at Chase Center, the league’s best defence is favoured to adjust and make that extraordinary scoring night difficult to repeat.
Bankroll check
- Total fictional stake: €50.00
- Maximum return: €82.31
- Maximum profit today: €32.31
- Running P/L before today: +€25.46
- Best-case running P/L: +€57.77
Research desk
- The Guardian: Thursday’s Nations League results
- Reuters: Ireland 2–2 Austria
- Reuters: Browns 27–24 Steelers
- The Guardian: Aces 94–83 Fever
- Hungary v Georgia prices and form
- Racing Post: Ukraine v Northern Ireland analysis
- Reuters: Sweden illness and injury update
- Oddschecker: Poland v Romania prices
- San Diego Wave: Orlando match preview
- Oddschecker: Orlando v San Diego prices
- Golden State Valkyries: Game 3 preview
- ESPN: Dallas v Golden State prices
18+ | Editorial simulation only. The €50 Daily Betting Challenge is a fictional editorial feature and is not a recommendation to gamble. No real €50 bankroll is being wagered. If you choose to gamble, only stake money you can afford to lose.